A Dive Into UAMY

United States Antimony Corporation

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The UAMY Report

Welcome to our special report on United States Antimony Corporation (UAMY). This newsletter provides a comprehensive look at the company, covering its fundamentals, technical indicators, recent news, and future outlook.

Fundamental Analysis

UAMY is a company involved in the mining and production of antimony, silver, gold, and zeolite. While the company is a key player in its niche, especially with its North American smelting operations, its fundamental metrics present a mixed picture.

  • Valuation: UAMY's valuation metrics, such as its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 28.06 and Price-to-Book (P/B) value of 20.50, suggest that the stock may be overvalued relative to its sales and book value.

  • Profitability: The company has struggled with profitability, as indicated by its negative Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of -1.86%. While recent reports show significant year-over-year revenue and profit growth, the company has had a history of negative net income.

  • Financial Strength: The company's quick ratio of 1.19 and current ratio of 2.21 indicate a reasonable ability to meet its short-term obligations.

Overall, the fundamental analysis suggests a "Hold" rating, with a high probability of the stock beating the S&P 500 in the next three months. This is likely due to recent positive developments, which we will discuss below.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for UAMY are overwhelmingly positive, suggesting strong upward momentum.

  • Moving Averages: The stock's current price is above its 5-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, which is a strong bullish signal.

  • RSI (Relative Strength Index): The 14-day RSI is at 64.556, which suggests the stock is a "Buy."

  • Overall Technical Rating: Based on a summary of various technical indicators, the stock has a "Strong Buy" rating. This indicates that technical analysts believe the stock is poised for continued price appreciation.

Big News

  • $245 Million Pentagon Contract: UAMY's stock has surged after the company was awarded a $245 million, five-year sole-source contract by the U.S. Defense Logistics Agency to supply antimony ingots for the National Defense Stockpile. This is a massive win for the company, as the contract value far exceeds its 2024 total revenues.

  • Alaska Expansion: UAMY has begun mining operations at its high-grade antimony-bearing mineral properties in Alaska, which is expected to enable efficient processing and provide a new source of feedstock.

  • Recent Registered Direct Offering: The company recently entered into a purchase agreement with an institutional investor for an $18 million registered direct offering of common stock.

  • Reincorporation to Texas: UAMY completed its reincorporation from Montana to Texas and filed a $64.65 million shelf registration for an ESOP.

Expert Recommendations and Forecast

  • Analyst Consensus: The consensus among analysts is a "Strong Buy."

  • Average Price Target: The average one-year price target is around $5.02, with a range from a low of $4.54 to a high of $5.51.

  • Note: It is important to note that these targets are based on previous data and may not fully reflect the impact of the recent $245 million government contract.

Earnings and Outlook

  • Next Earnings Date: UAMY is estimated to report its next earnings on November 11, 2025.

  • Outlook: The outlook for UAMY is now significantly more positive due to the massive government contract. The company is positioned as a critical supplier of antimony, which is used in military applications, flame retardants, and batteries. With its expanding operations and a long-term, high-value contract, the company's future revenue and profitability are likely to see substantial improvement, and its strategic importance as the only fully integrated antimony operation outside of China has been solidified.

“Never Financial Advice, Just a Thought!”

-Bremcakes

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